TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Samuel Vincent Ruggeri in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Etienne Donnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Samuel Vincent Ruggeri in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Etienne Donnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances of victory.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Samuel Vincent Ruggeri, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and cause the price to move quickly. Monitoring tennis news and the trading activity on the platform will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market’s price.