TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Paul Colin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Paul Colin. This market will resolve to 'Paul Colin' if Paul Colin advances against Etienne Donnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Paul Colin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Paul Colin. This market will resolve to 'Paul Colin' if Paul Colin advances against Etienne Donnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market may converge as new information becomes available and the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no external factors influencing it, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Etienne Donnet and Paul Colin, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders might indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the tournament will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.