TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Damien Salvestre and James Connel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Damien Salvestre' if Damien Salvestre advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Damien Salvestre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Damien Salvestre and James Connel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Damien Salvestre' if Damien Salvestre advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Damien Salvestre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Damien Salvestre will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for James Connel. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Damien Salvestre and James Connel, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is officially closed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one could also impact confidence in either player. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements in this market before Sep 24, 2026.