TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 10:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between CHARLES CHEN and Andrea Colombo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Andrea Colombo. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against CHARLES CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between CHARLES CHEN and Andrea Colombo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Andrea Colombo. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against CHARLES CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of an outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining the difference can offer valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the probability of a particular result in the Charles Chen vs Andrea Colombo match, based on their collective actions.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charles Chen vs Andrea Colombo match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 30, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about either Charles Chen or Andrea Colombo’s preparation or physical state would likely cause shifts in the market. Additionally, any significant upsets in other matches leading up to this one could affect overall confidence in player rankings and influence trading decisions. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential market movements.