TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cesar Bouchelaghem and Roan Jones in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cesar Bouchelaghem' if Cesar Bouchelaghem advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Cesar Bouchelaghem. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cesar Bouchelaghem and Roan Jones in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cesar Bouchelaghem' if Cesar Bouchelaghem advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Cesar Bouchelaghem. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that there’s an opportunity for value betting. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to different information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe Cesar Bouchelaghem will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Cesar Bouchelaghem and Roan Jones, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Cesar Bouchelaghem or Roan Jones, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements in this market.