TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 5:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carel Aubriel Ngounoue and Roan Jones in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carel Aubriel Ngounoue' if Carel Aubriel Ngounoue advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Carel Aubriel Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carel Aubriel Ngounoue and Roan Jones in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carel Aubriel Ngounoue' if Carel Aubriel Ngounoue advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Carel Aubriel Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If many traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Polymarket in that direction. This can result in prediction market odds being more accurate, or at least offering a different perspective, than those found at conventional betting sites. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ngounoue vs Jones match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the latest collective assessment. The current price indicates the market's expectation of the result, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ngounoue vs Jones match, as reported by authoritative sports sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements from either player could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving similar players could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and shift the price. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.