TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Haiyi Qin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Haiyi Qin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price and the greater the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current volume suggests strong conviction in one outcome, as evidenced by the current probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final probabilities established on Polymarket at the time of resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also lead to reassessment of their chances. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.