TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ammar Elamin and Hugo Car in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Hugo Car. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Ammar Elamin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ammar Elamin and Hugo Car in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Hugo Car. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Ammar Elamin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Ammar Elamin and Hugo Car, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis highlighting a player’s strengths or weaknesses, could also impact trading volume and price. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their informed opinions about the match’s likely outcome. Monitoring tennis news and social media sentiment can provide insights into potential catalysts.