TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Watanabe Eriksson and Andy Allen in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Watanabe Eriksson' if Alexander Watanabe Eriksson advances against Andy Allen. This market will resolve to 'Andy Allen' if Andy Allen advances against Alexander Watanabe Eriksson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Watanabe Eriksson and Andy Allen in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Watanabe Eriksson' if Alexander Watanabe Eriksson advances against Andy Allen. This market will resolve to 'Andy Allen' if Andy Allen advances against Alexander Watanabe Eriksson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations, while this market relies purely on individuals wagering their own capital. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is visible on the dashboard, and traders can use this information to inform their own trading decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Monastir tennis match between Alexander Watanabe Eriksson and Andy Allen, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the confirmed outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations before Oct 4, 2026.