TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Nagoudi and Hitesh Chauhan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Nagoudi' if Adam Nagoudi advances against Hitesh Chauhan. This market will resolve to 'Hitesh Chauhan' if Hitesh Chauhan advances against Adam Nagoudi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Nagoudi and Hitesh Chauhan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Nagoudi' if Adam Nagoudi advances against Hitesh Chauhan. This market will resolve to 'Hitesh Chauhan' if Hitesh Chauhan advances against Adam Nagoudi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all impact trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large-volume purchases, can also cause noticeable price movements. Furthermore, updates from tennis analysts or shifts in public opinion could contribute to changes in the perceived probability of each player winning, ultimately affecting the price of shares in this market.