TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between nicolas joseph and Kostiantyn Aksonov in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'nicolas joseph' if nicolas joseph advances against Kostiantyn Aksonov. This market will resolve to 'Kostiantyn Aksonov' if Kostiantyn Aksonov advances against nicolas joseph. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between nicolas joseph and Kostiantyn Aksonov in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'nicolas joseph' if nicolas joseph advances against Kostiantyn Aksonov. This market will resolve to 'Kostiantyn Aksonov' if Kostiantyn Aksonov advances against nicolas joseph. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla tennis match between nicolas joseph and Kostiantyn Aksonov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader developments in the tennis world, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.