TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Carlos Giraldi in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Carlos Giraldi. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Maximilian Figl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Carlos Giraldi in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Figl' if Maximilian Figl advances against Carlos Giraldi. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Giraldi' if Carlos Giraldi advances against Maximilian Figl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, the odds on Polymarket may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors who can identify discrepancies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd, constantly updating as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla tennis match between Maximilian Figl and Carlos Giraldi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning could lead to movement in this market before Sep 24, 2026.