TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Borrelli and Mario Arce Fernandez in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Borrelli' if Leonardo Borrelli advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Leonardo Borrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Borrelli and Mario Arce Fernandez in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Borrelli' if Leonardo Borrelli advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Leonardo Borrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Melilla tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla tennis match between Leonardo Borrelli and Mario Arce Fernandez. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause the odds to move. Keep an eye on sports news and the trading volume on Polymarket to understand potential catalysts for changes in this market.