TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Felguera Mira and Pablo Hermoso in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Felguera Mira' if Ignacio Felguera Mira advances against Pablo Hermoso. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Hermoso' if Pablo Hermoso advances against Ignacio Felguera Mira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Felguera Mira and Pablo Hermoso in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Felguera Mira' if Ignacio Felguera Mira advances against Pablo Hermoso. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Hermoso' if Pablo Hermoso advances against Ignacio Felguera Mira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ capabilities. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for events with limited coverage.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla tennis match between Ignacio Felguera Mira and Pablo Hermoso. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which player won the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, potentially leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.