TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Munoz Molina and Pietro Marino in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Munoz Molina' if David Munoz Molina advances against Pietro Marino. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Marino' if Pietro Marino advances against David Munoz Molina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Munoz Molina and Pietro Marino in the M15 Melilla, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Munoz Molina' if David Munoz Molina advances against Pietro Marino. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Marino' if Pietro Marino advances against David Munoz Molina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Munoz Molina vs Marino match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or fitness levels could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive changes in the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.