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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Rojas and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Rojas' if Carles Rojas advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Carles Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Rojas and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Rojas' if Carles Rojas advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Carles Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous independent traders. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the probabilities implied by both can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate significantly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, providing a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Melilla tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla tennis match between Carles Rojas and Sacha Bouillard. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable data, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of a minor injury to one of the players, or even weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could lead to adjustments in the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also influence trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.