TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Rojas and Asier Meneses Perny in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Rojas' if Carles Rojas advances against Asier Meneses Perny. This market will resolve to 'Asier Meneses Perny' if Asier Meneses Perny advances against Carles Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Rojas and Asier Meneses Perny in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Rojas' if Carles Rojas advances against Asier Meneses Perny. This market will resolve to 'Asier Meneses Perny' if Asier Meneses Perny advances against Carles Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Melilla tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Carles Rojas will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Melilla tennis match between Carles Rojas and Asier Meneses Perny, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and lead to increased trading volume. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning will likely move this market.