TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Pedro Rodenas in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Pedro Rodenas in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Madrid tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure pushing prices higher and increased selling pressure pushing them lower. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Pedro Rodenas, as reported by official tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately relies on traders' individual assessments. Unexpected weather conditions or even minor upsets in related matches could also contribute to price fluctuations.