TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Perez socas and Richard Zusman in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Perez socas' if Roberto Perez socas advances against Richard Zusman. This market will resolve to 'Richard Zusman' if Richard Zusman advances against Roberto Perez socas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Perez socas and Richard Zusman in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Perez socas' if Roberto Perez socas advances against Richard Zusman. This market will resolve to 'Richard Zusman' if Richard Zusman advances against Roberto Perez socas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Perez vs Zusman match. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, changes in sentiment, and the actions of other traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid match between Roberto Perez socas and Richard Zusman. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winner. Once the official result is available, the market will be settled, and shares will be redeemed according to the outcome. Traders should monitor reputable sources for the official confirmation of the match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant trading activity from large players on Polymarket could shift the market price. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Perez vs Zusman match has the potential to move this market significantly.