TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN
polymarket

What is the result of Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN?

Volume:
$1,713

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN

 - Polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 10:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Rafael De Alba vs Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael De Alba and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. This market will resolve to 'Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN' if Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN advances against Rafael De Alba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael De Alba and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. This market will resolve to 'Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN' if Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN advances against Rafael De Alba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Madrid tennis match provides real-time insights into how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes. You can view the current odds, track the price history of the market, and see the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,713, with $1,713 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and observe how opinions shift as the event approaches. The dashboard is a central hub for all activity related to this prediction market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the Madrid tennis match and highlight areas where the market diverges from conventional wisdom.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the Madrid tennis match.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Madrid tennis match between Rafael De Alba and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities associated with each potential outcome of the Madrid tennis match.