TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Luke Bollinger in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Luke Bollinger. This market will resolve to 'Luke Bollinger' if Luke Bollinger advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Luke Bollinger in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michiel De Krom' if Michiel De Krom advances against Luke Bollinger. This market will resolve to 'Luke Bollinger' if Luke Bollinger advances against Michiel De Krom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate unique insights not captured by standard bookmakers.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid tennis match between Michiel De Krom and Luke Bollinger. The platform will determine which source is most authoritative to verify the completion of the match and the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome, as determined by this verification process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and updated player rankings may also contribute to changes in this market’s pricing before Sep 9, 2026.