TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis

Volume:
N/A

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis

 - Polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 6:26 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 2 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Madrid: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Vicente Alcaraz Galbis Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Vicente Alcaraz Galbis in the M15 Madrid, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Vicente Alcaraz Galbis. This market will resolve to 'Vicente Alcaraz Galbis' if Vicente Alcaraz Galbis advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Vicente Alcaraz Galbis in the M15 Madrid, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Vicente Alcaraz Galbis. This market will resolve to 'Vicente Alcaraz Galbis' if Vicente Alcaraz Galbis advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market reflect collective trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different pricing mechanisms and participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may set odds based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let users bet directly on outcomes, often resulting in sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent news and on-court developments.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result from tennis authorities and reputable sports news sources will determine the winner, and the market will close accordingly.

Injuries, weather delays, or changes in player form could shift sentiment and move this market. Key moments such as recent match performances, media updates, and betting trends may also cause fluctuations. As the event draws closer, any new information that impacts the perceived likelihood of each player winning can lead to rapid changes in odds.