TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iannis Miletich and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Iannis Miletich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iannis Miletich and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Iannis Miletich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up the price, indicating greater confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid tennis match between Iannis Miletich and Carles Hernandez. The platform will verify the winner of the match against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by informed participants could trigger price swings, as others react to their actions. Even general shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or other sources, might subtly affect the market price as traders adjust their positions based on new information.