TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Carrascosa Diaz' if Enrique Carrascosa Diaz advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Enrique Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Carles Hernandez in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Carrascosa Diaz' if Enrique Carrascosa Diaz advances against Carles Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Enrique Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same outcome, but through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Carles Hernandez, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, with a draw also being a possible resolution. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could shift expectations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, as could any significant announcements related to the tournament itself. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is evolving.