TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Carles Cordoba in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk Mesa' if Bernardo Munk Mesa advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against Bernardo Munk Mesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Carles Cordoba in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Munk Mesa' if Bernardo Munk Mesa advances against Carles Cordoba. This market will resolve to 'Carles Cordoba' if Carles Cordoba advances against Bernardo Munk Mesa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of an outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in the outcome, while selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Madrid match between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Carles Cordoba, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant trading volume, driven by new information or a change in overall market perception, can lead to substantial movements in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.