TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M15 Madrid: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alejandro Garcia Carbajal
- Polymarket
M15 Madrid: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alejandro Garcia Carbajal - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 3, 2026
Closed: Sep 3, 6:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez and Alejandro Garcia Carbajal in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez' if Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez and Alejandro Garcia Carbajal in the M15 Madrid, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez' if Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez advances against Alejandro Garcia Carbajal. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Garcia Carbajal' if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal advances against Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, the odds on Polymarket may reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities, potentially identifying discrepancies where sportsbooks might be influenced by public bias or other factors. It's a useful comparison point for informed analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez and Alejandro Garcia Carbajal in Madrid. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility, as others react to their actions and adjust their own predictions about the Madrid tennis match.