TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Zicong Wang in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Zicong Wang. This market will resolve to 'Zicong Wang' if Zicong Wang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Zicong Wang in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Zicong Wang. This market will resolve to 'Zicong Wang' if Zicong Wang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhenxiong Dong vs Zicong Wang match as reported by the governing body. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts (if applicable) could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the perceived probability of each outcome, as traders react to and interpret the actions of others in the market.