TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Ren Jie Zhang in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Ren Jie Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ren Jie Zhang' if Ren Jie Zhang advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Ren Jie Zhang in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Ren Jie Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ren Jie Zhang' if Ren Jie Zhang advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other exchanges.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yue Xia vs Ren Jie Zhang match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated performance statistics for Yue Xia or Ren Jie Zhang could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.