TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Nikola Novcic in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Nikola Novcic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Novcic' if Nikola Novcic advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Nikola Novcic in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Nikola Novcic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Novcic' if Nikola Novcic advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the You Du vs Nikola Novcic match, based on available information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the You Du vs Nikola Novcic match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and following its completion to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic adjustments announced by either player could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament results might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially leading to price movements in this market before Oct 4, 2026.