TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and Ivan Dorokhov in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against Ivan Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wenze Li and Ivan Dorokhov in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wenze Li' if Wenze Li advances against Ivan Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against Wenze Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of each player winning the match, based on available information and analysis. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Luan match between Wenze Li and Ivan Dorokhov. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. The final outcome will be publicly available and transparently recorded on Polymarket following the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could trigger price fluctuations, and general shifts in public sentiment towards either player can impact trading volume and prices. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 5, 2026.