TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wen Bo Fan and Xin Zhou in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wen Bo Fan' if Wen Bo Fan advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Wen Bo Fan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wen Bo Fan and Xin Zhou in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wen Bo Fan' if Wen Bo Fan advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Wen Bo Fan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wen Bo Fan vs Xin Zhou match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side – can drive the price in that direction. Monitoring sports news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.