TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shengyu Wang and Jiaqi Gu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shengyu Wang' if Shengyu Wang advances against Jiaqi Gu. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Shengyu Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shengyu Wang and Jiaqi Gu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shengyu Wang' if Shengyu Wang advances against Jiaqi Gu. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Shengyu Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a unique perspective on the likelihood of each possible result in the Shengyu Wang vs Jiaqi Gu match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shengyu Wang vs Jiaqi Gu match, as determined by the governing body of M15 Luan. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player form, pre-match analysis from experts, and even significant betting activity in external sportsbooks could also contribute to price fluctuations. The closer the match date approaches, the more sensitive this market will be to any new information that could impact the perceived probability of either player winning.