TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Tianlin Xie in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Tianlin Xie. This market will resolve to 'Tianlin Xie' if Tianlin Xie advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Tianlin Xie in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Tianlin Xie. This market will resolve to 'Tianlin Xie' if Tianlin Xie advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by traders' willingness to take the opposing side of a bet.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaoyun Liu vs Tianlin Xie match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 5, 2026.