TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Lleyton Richards in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Lleyton Richards. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Lleyton Richards in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Lleyton Richards. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shaoyun Liu vs Lleyton Richards match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in the market. A higher price indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, while a lower price suggests less confidence. The market is open for trading until it resolves.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaoyun Liu vs Lleyton Richards match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the winning player and determine the outcome of the market based on that information. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution process and have access to reliable sources for verifying the official results of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or significant shifts in public opinion, might also contribute to price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either Shaoyun Liu or Lleyton Richards winning are likely to be reflected in the market price on Polymarket.