TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Jordan Chiu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and Jordan Chiu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaoyun Liu vs Jordan Chiu match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or significant media coverage focusing on one player’s strengths or weaknesses could also cause movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Shaoyun Liu or Jordan Chiu winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity and, consequently, the market price.