TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Junzhang Fu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Junzhang Fu. This market will resolve to 'Junzhang Fu' if Junzhang Fu advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and Junzhang Fu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against Junzhang Fu. This market will resolve to 'Junzhang Fu' if Junzhang Fu advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other venues. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Luan match between Reiya Komagata and Junzhang Fu. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information regarding the match result. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final result will determine which outcome pays out to share holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact predictions. Public announcements about betting patterns or significant wagers placed on Polymarket could also create movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Komagata vs Fu match has the potential to move this market.