TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattias Southcombe and Jordan Chiu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattias Southcombe' if Mattias Southcombe advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Mattias Southcombe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattias Southcombe and Jordan Chiu in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattias Southcombe' if Mattias Southcombe advances against Jordan Chiu. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Mattias Southcombe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds here can diverge. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there's information asymmetry or a strong community understanding of the event. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Southcombe vs Chiu match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Mattias Southcombe or Jordan Chiu could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially causing the market to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.