TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lingxi Zhao and Yue Xia in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Lingxi Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lingxi Zhao and Yue Xia in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Lingxi Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the event's outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks, leading to odds adjustments as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the match's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lingxi Zhao vs Yue Xia match, as reported by the governing body of M15 Luan. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to the final market price of their shares at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could impact perceptions of player momentum and influence trading decisions. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly factored into the market, can also indirectly affect trader behavior and contribute to price movements.