TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kezhi Li and Ruochen Gao in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kezhi Li' if Kezhi Li advances against Ruochen Gao. This market will resolve to 'Ruochen Gao' if Ruochen Gao advances against Kezhi Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kezhi Li and Ruochen Gao in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kezhi Li' if Kezhi Li advances against Ruochen Gao. This market will resolve to 'Ruochen Gao' if Ruochen Gao advances against Kezhi Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived likelihood of different outcomes in the Kezhi Li vs Ruochen Gao match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kezhi Li vs Ruochen Gao match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. The platform uses this dynamic pricing to reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Kezhi Li vs Ruochen Gao match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player performance could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public opinion regarding the Kezhi Li vs Ruochen Gao match could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.