TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Xinyuan Xie in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Xinyuan Xie in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the platform ensuring that the total probabilities across all outcomes sum to 100%. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Kai-i Wang vs Xinyuan Xie match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kai-i Wang vs Xinyuan Xie match, as reported by the governing body of M15 Luan. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends within the M15 Luan tournament, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a strong conviction in a particular outcome for the Kai-i Wang vs Xinyuan Xie match.