TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Max Purcell in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Max Purcell in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Max Purcell. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly when information isn’t widely available or when there’s a strong potential for unexpected events. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of betting options than are available in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yamasaki vs Purcell match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yamasaki vs Purcell match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also influence the market. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, could create volatility. Increased media coverage or endorsements of either player might also lead to shifts in sentiment and trading volume in this market.