TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Dembo and LIANGXUAN LIU in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Dembo' if Jake Dembo advances against LIANGXUAN LIU. This market will resolve to 'LIANGXUAN LIU' if LIANGXUAN LIU advances against Jake Dembo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Dembo and LIANGXUAN LIU in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Dembo' if Jake Dembo advances against LIANGXUAN LIU. This market will resolve to 'LIANGXUAN LIU' if LIANGXUAN LIU advances against Jake Dembo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the athletes' strengths and weaknesses. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Jake Dembo vs Liangxuan Liu match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jake Dembo vs Liangxuan Liu match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth zero.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Jake Dembo or Liangxuan Liu would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their training regimens, recent performance in other matches, or even changes in coaching strategies could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or format might also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the athletes' chances of winning could move this market.