TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Dembo and Hao Duan in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Dembo' if Jake Dembo advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Jake Dembo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Dembo and Hao Duan in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Dembo' if Jake Dembo advances against Hao Duan. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against Jake Dembo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Dembo vs Duan match. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dembo vs Duan match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or significant media coverage focusing on one player could trigger price movements. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role in shaping market expectations.