TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against George Russell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against George Russell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more traders believe George Russell will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to the match schedule could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, fueled by media coverage or social media discussions, can also drive price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived likelihood of each outcome.