TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure
polymarket

Who will win George Russell vs Alejandro Dure?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure

 - Polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 5:49 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 2 Winner

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Match O/U 21.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Match O/U 23.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
polymarket

M15 Luan: George Russell vs Alejandro Dure Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 11h 45m
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against George Russell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Alejandro Dure. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Dure' if Alejandro Dure advances against George Russell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it's important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on real-time trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more traders believe George Russell will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between George Russell and Alejandro Dure. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.

Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to the match schedule could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, fueled by media coverage or social media discussions, can also drive price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived likelihood of each outcome.