TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Marcco Iannoni in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Marcco Iannoni. This market will resolve to 'Marcco Iannoni' if Marcco Iannoni advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Marcco Iannoni in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Marcco Iannoni. This market will resolve to 'Marcco Iannoni' if Marcco Iannoni advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Garay vs Iannoni match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis) match between Valentin Garay and Marcco Iannoni. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of Valentin Garay or Marcco Iannoni, such as injury reports or training updates, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in public perception or expert analysis of their performance could also impact the market. Unexpected tactical decisions or in-match developments during the Garay vs Iannoni match itself will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.