TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Dummer Macedo and Enzo Lima in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Dummer Macedo' if Tomas Dummer Macedo advances against Enzo Lima. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Tomas Dummer Macedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Dummer Macedo and Enzo Lima in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Dummer Macedo' if Tomas Dummer Macedo advances against Enzo Lima. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Tomas Dummer Macedo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can be due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency depends on the number of active traders and the quality of information they possess.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tomas Dummer Macedo versus Enzo Lima match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact the market, as they might affect confidence or perceived momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.