TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho and Mateus Napoli da Silveira in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho' if Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho advances against Mateus Napoli da Silveira. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Napoli da Silveira' if Mateus Napoli da Silveira advances against Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho and Mateus Napoli da Silveira in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho' if Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho advances against Mateus Napoli da Silveira. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Napoli da Silveira' if Mateus Napoli da Silveira advances against Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis) match between Gabriel Ribeiro Pinho and Mateus Napoli da Silveira. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or tactical changes could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather impacts or venue changes, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public opinion regarding the players' chances could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates on the players and the match is advisable.