TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eduardo Lage and Rocco Valente in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Lage' if Eduardo Lage advances against Rocco Valente. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Eduardo Lage. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eduardo Lage and Rocco Valente in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eduardo Lage' if Eduardo Lage advances against Rocco Valente. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Eduardo Lage. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, influencing the price. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or debate surrounding the event. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd thinks sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Trading volume and order book depth also influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eduardo Lage versus Rocco Valente match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to winning share holders accordingly. It’s important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released and verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also lead to price movements. Public statements from players or coaches, as well as analysis from sports commentators, can all influence how traders assess the likelihood of each outcome. Increased trading volume closer to the event date is also a common signal of heightened market activity.