TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Antonio Nunez and Andre Souza in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Antonio Nunez' if Daniel Antonio Nunez advances against Andre Souza. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Daniel Antonio Nunez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Antonio Nunez and Andre Souza in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Antonio Nunez' if Daniel Antonio Nunez advances against Andre Souza. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Daniel Antonio Nunez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or less influenced by public bias. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Nunez vs Souza match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nunez vs Souza match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Nunez vs Souza match, as determined by the event organizers. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and rulings from relevant authorities.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding injuries to either Daniel Antonio Nunez or Andre Souza would be a major catalyst. Updates on their training camps, changes in their coaching staff, or any reported issues with their physical condition could all impact the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also influence trader sentiment and shift the market. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Polymarket could also indicate new information or changing expectations.