TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Drazen Petrovic in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Drazen Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Belozertsev and Drazen Petrovic in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Drazen Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'Drazen Petrovic' if Drazen Petrovic advances against Nikita Belozertsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Belozertsev vs Petrovic match, and the price of each share reflects the market's current belief about the probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Belozertsev vs Petrovic match, as determined by the tournament organizers. The market will then settle to 100% probability for the winning outcome. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s result, based on the actual event outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create price movements, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the market’s predictions.